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deskgameWhat happened to wide receiver Ryan Williams over the last four games? He averaged 4.4 receptions and 87.8 yards in the first eight games but dropped to 2.5 receptions and 38.8 yards in the last four. He scored one of his eight touchdowns in the last third of the regular season. deskgameThe key is that the house edge is realized over the long haul. A player might win or lose more in the short term, but the house edge will be realized in the end. deskgameSimilar errors allowed illegal bets on two boxing matches. On June 11, 2022, William Hill took bets on a Chris Kongo-Sebastian Formella boxing match that it had advertised as starting at noon. However, the match began at 11:15 a.m. and concluded at 11:55 a.m. On April 15, 2023, William Hill took bets on a Denzel Bentley-Kieran Smith fight after it, too, had already ended. The company listed the fight as a noon start, but it began at 11:55 a.m. and ended just 45 seconds later with a knockout. deskgameAs you review the NFL odds this week, one thing to watch for is matchups where one team has a clear path to the playoffs and the other has no postseason hopes. A team’s motivation level can sometimes diminish when there’s nothing to play for beyond Week 18.